Monday, February 15, 2010

All the wealth in the world

Coming out of the Chinese New Year holiday, just wanna say Happy Year of the Tiger!

Just how much wealth are there in the world?

It has ballooned over the last few years. Taken from the CIA world fact book 2010:

First we need an annual Global income to do the maths:
A) GDP at PPP:$70.21 trillion (2009 est.)

B) Key commodities:
i) Oil reserves: 1.343 T Barrels @ 74 USD/barrel roughly equals to 100 T USD
ii) Gas reserve: 177.4 T cu m @ 5.50 USD/ cu m roughly equals to 1000 T USD
iii) Gold: 161000 tons = 4.7 M troy ounces, @ 1100/oz roughly equals to 5.2 B USD

C) Equities:
Publicly traded shares: $64.99 trillion (31 December 2007)
Privately held: Well, this is a little tricky. Total Private consumption is around 60% of GDP, of which, some of them are "produced" by the 65 T publicly traded companies (let's assume their ROE is 5%, which means they generate roughly 3.25 T of returns/incomes for investors annually)70 T * 0.6 - 3,25 T = 38.75 T, and again, let's assume they have ROE of 5%, gives the whole value of the privately held companies a whopping price tag of 775 T USD!

D) Debts: $56.9 trillion (31 December 2009 est.)

E) Real Estate: This is a little tricky. There are commercial, residential and public real estate, as well as land and sea (well, there might be deep sea oil underneath!).

If I just assume wherever we live+work in is worth 6X of the annual income (GDP), we can arrive at 420 T USD for the world's real estate value.

Land is certainly wealth but let's focus on the more readily "marketable" securities" only.

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Obviously this is a very crude estimate of the world's wealth, let's tally it up nonetheless:
B+C+D+E
2417 Trillion Dollars!
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